The monthly BTC chart on Optimized Trend has called every bear market perfectly since inception.
I won’t sugarcoat it — it has just turned down for the first time since December 1st, 2021. If that signal holds, it suggests we never truly entered a real bull market this cycle; it simply lasted a bit longer than usu...
2025-11-14 05:58:24 +0000 UTC
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Yeah, I know it's controversial, but I also watch with the Chinese are doing. Unfortunately, the US government is very against solar probably due to oil and gas special interests.
Solar power is logical to me because it's free energy from the sun—no fuel costs, no radioactive waste like nuclear, and no big pollution d...
2025-11-13 21:08:17 +0000 UTC
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Live at 2pm Pacific: https://youtube.com/live/V-Y0O717aWg
2025-11-13 20:57:32 +0000 UTC
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Gaps in stock charts don't always fill—it's a popular trading adage, but data shows they fill around 80% of the time, especially common gaps in ranging or low-volume markets.
They occur when a stock's price jumps sharply between one trading session's close and the next open, often due to after-hours news, earnings re...
2025-11-13 19:29:22 +0000 UTC
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I jumped the gun a touch on TSLA - today... it is now lower.
It’s remarkable. The Fed has essentially received no new data for 45 days, yet now believes there’s a 50% chance they won’t cut rates in December—down from the 67% probability priced in just days ago. That kind of sudden shift is what’s rattling mar...
2025-11-13 17:07:36 +0000 UTC
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Jacob dives into the ATR backtest: should the bar be open or closed? https://youtu.be/d4DueND9yJ0
Core Idea:
Always use bar close for signals and backtesting because ...
2025-11-13 16:50:23 +0000 UTC
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Bitcoin can serve as a tool to kickstart an economy by enabling financial inclusion, reducing transaction costs for remittances, attracting foreign investment, and providing a hedge against inflation or currency instability.
Would be great to see the UK doing this and leading the way for the EU
UK Economy stalli...
2025-11-13 16:14:06 +0000 UTC
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Former Director of AI at Tesla Andrej Karpathy picked up his new Model X and reviews Tesla V13.2.9 with HW4
Elon says wait till he tries V14
“Basically... I'm amazed - it drives really, really well, smooth, confiden...
2025-11-13 15:54:52 +0000 UTC
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Today Czech National Bank (CNB) Governor Aleš Michl announced the creation of a $1 million test portfolio that includes Bitcoin, marking the first time a central bank has purchased Bitcoin for its balance sheet.
This pilot program tests the processes for buying, holding, and managing digital assets like Bitcoin, which...
2025-11-13 15:36:28 +0000 UTC
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I grabbed a little TSLA today at the magical $411 mark - the same level I entered before and was waiting to hit again...
Buy signal shadowed again and we have bounced off $411 thrice now.
I bought the Jan 2028 calls and sold the Jan 2028 Puts at $400 strike for a net debit of $45
My breakeven on the trade ...
2025-11-13 15:14:02 +0000 UTC
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Not long ago, I made a post on how Burry was insane to short AI - in particular, NVDA - PLTR, PLTR you could argue is frothy.
Anyhow as it turns out - putting Burry’s recent moves together — his liquidation letter, his posts about hyperscalers losing value, and his Big Short meme — and he’s sending one message:...
2025-11-13 05:34:44 +0000 UTC
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and yeah I realize the price sucks... been in markets now since 1990 and never saw so much mispricing as I have with Crypto.
Anyhoooo Toly says in this interview "Solana processes in a single month the same number of transactions Ethereum has handled over its entire history."
2025-11-13 05:12:51 +0000 UTC
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Beyond Meat is basically ultra-processed junk dressed up as “healthy.” Vegans loved it. However if you took 1 min to research it youy would find out it is trash stuffed with refined oils, protein isolates, starches, methylcellulose, maltodextrin, “natural flavors,” and other additives you’d never consume at home. <...
2025-11-13 05:07:54 +0000 UTC
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Will cover this and more on Cyberbulls tomorrow at 2pm PT
Nobody else is even thinking about this.... and Tesla has been for the last decade.
Tesla's sentient "Baby AGI" isn't a chatty oracle—it's an agent that embodies intelligence. Perceiving 3D worlds, predicting physics (e.g., a tyres skid on wet asphalt), ...
2025-11-13 04:56:43 +0000 UTC
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A lesson in negotiating tactics.
I rem over a qtr of a century ago we had a class at Wharton around Negotiations.... I rem it to this day - and it is pretty freaking simple - Whoever controls the scope defines what the negotiation is about and the assumptions both sides accept as reality. Done. A tot...
2025-11-13 04:51:13 +0000 UTC
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Fun items like -
ok we got the comp plan and Elon plans to ramp 60% full war mode - what does this mean for the stock?
Spatial AI.... the new frontier
Convergence w SpaceX and xAI
Quick fire Qs for Lutz and Merz
Short snappy Q's are best.
2025-11-13 00:19:48 +0000 UTC
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I know Jo B was on the channel last week, saying Tesla could easily hit $2,000 next year. Personally, I think that’s a bit optimistic. I’m more in the $750–$1,000 range, and it was reassuring to see AJ land in a similar zone.
AJ’s updated Tesla price targets are $530–$590 for next year, and $1,050–$1,170 ove...
2025-11-12 22:55:56 +0000 UTC
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Live at 1:10pm Pacific: https://youtube.com/live/6QNznmU5w0w
2025-11-12 21:01:47 +0000 UTC
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Proxies have taken a hit — for the first time this bull run, MSTR is trading below its Bitcoin holdings, with the NAV premium flipping to a 1% discount.
You could technically argue that the arbitrage might now swing the other way — but not if a bear market is setting in.
We really need the Govt to reopen ASAP....
2025-11-12 20:28:40 +0000 UTC
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Looks like Google is A/B testing a new model in AI Studio.
The text above is a nightmare 18th-century handwritten document—bad spelling, grammar, and all.
Most models fail hard on it. This new one? Nearly perfect. Nothing else even comes close.
I can think of a number of applications including my own han...
2025-11-12 16:31:34 +0000 UTC
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The Semiconductor ETF ($SMH) saw record inflows of $1.3 billion last week, surpassing its previous high of $1.2 billion from Q1 2022.
That’s more than twice the weekly average for 2025 so far.
Meanwhile, the 3x leveraged Nasdaq 100 ETF ($TQQQ) also drew massive demand, with $1.2 billion in new inflows.
Alt...
2025-11-12 16:20:13 +0000 UTC
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New York City’s new socialist tax experiment is set to end badly. Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s plan to fund free services by heavily taxing the rich will likely drive out the very people who pay most of the city’s taxes. Also, the corporations. And no net new companies will head to NYC. History shows this pattern: when taxes ...
2025-11-12 16:10:00 +0000 UTC
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This stock was included in my IA9, and since the summer of 2025, I’ve been waiting for a dip… but that never came. It just got upgraded with a new $300 price target.
A friend of mine has held a small bag of AMD since 2015 — and he’s now a multi millionaire. The stock is up over 11,000% in ten years, a classic ex...
2025-11-12 15:51:44 +0000 UTC
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Hey team,
I don’t want to jinx it, but the ATR model just triggered a buy signal on the daily for Bitcoin.
Historically, it’s been accurate about 86% of the time — fingers crossed this one plays out too!
2025-11-12 04:58:16 +0000 UTC
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Even spending $200K a year starting now you still cannot outrun the bag
2025-11-12 02:57:21 +0000 UTC
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This was inspired by a post I randomly saw on Twitter
So I ran some numbers on our new retirement model... PS our beta testers are on this tomorrow :D
Retire on MODEL coming to Patreon real soon
Some fun chart...
2025-11-12 02:47:11 +0000 UTC
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Pro Tip for Young Couples: Instead of blowing one-fifth of your lifetime earnings on a lavish wedding—like many in India do and in USA many weddings are north of $100K (a retire on bag of 300 TSLA shares) — channel that cash into smarter investments with real returns, such as buying a house, funding your kids' education, ...
2025-11-12 02:36:08 +0000 UTC
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Bitcoin hauls in $300M before BlackRock even takes the field. Happy to see this reversal.
Solana: a modest $9M.
Ethereum? Dumps $90M before BlackRock’s whistle blows.
2025-11-12 02:24:34 +0000 UTC
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Rule #89 - Your portfolio is a Mirror of your Mind
Upgrade your mind relentlessly—always read, always learn, and always anticipate the next big thing. Prepare for it, rotate your portfolio into that emerging asset class, and once it's mainstream, gear up for the one after. I also call this #ABL Always Be Learning.....
2025-11-12 00:33:31 +0000 UTC
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Live at 1:30pm Pacific: https://youtube.com/live/MXGHAZUJabU
2025-11-11 21:21:28 +0000 UTC
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