Not sure how to read the tea leaves today. Outside of Severodonetsk, where block-by-block fighting continues, there weren't any significant ground advances attempted by either belligerent theaterwide.
The big story today is a Ukrainian drone strike on an oil refinery in Russia. It appears that an inexpensive commercial ...
2022-06-22 19:21:42 +0000 UTC View Post
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2022-06-22 05:35:25 +0000 UTC View PostI had wanted to announce this two weeks ago but - COVID. I'm still dealing with post-COVID symptoms but not to the "long COVID" threshold. I've hinted at the future and I'm ready to share with our supporters what that future will look like. All of this will roll out over the next 30 days, some things faster than others.
Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
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2022-06-21 07:39:13 +0000 UTC View PostAnother big offensive by Russian forces in all directions - which is why it likely won't be successful.
Russian forces took Metolkine, so apologies to Kadyrov for being right for once. You are likely hearing other reports that Ukraine is only at "Azot" or "Nitrogen." That's basically unchanged for almost two weeks. Ukra...
2022-06-20 21:00:48 +0000 UTC View PostThere are some major developments in the Black Sea, and historically it has been slow and challenging to gain the facts. This is a general assessment due to the lack of details and a lot of sources rushing to conclusions.
Both Russian and Ukrainian sources are reporting that Ukraine attacked up to three "oil platforms" ...
2022-06-20 18:08:48 +0000 UTC View PostRussia has a big Kaliningrad problem, and the rhetoric has increased dramatically.
First a brief history of how the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad came to be.
Kaliningrad was once upon a time Koenigsberg and was part of Germany. It was the capital of the German region of East Prussia.
In the closing days of ...
2022-06-20 17:53:35 +0000 UTC View PostYour EIC is having a really bad day with post-COVID fatigue. I can barely keep my eyes open today. Lunch for Father's Day and a trip to two stores leveled me.
Quick summary - nothing happened today. There was a lot of fighting, but there is no verifiable territorial control changes.
Ramzan Kadyrov claims that Chec...
2022-06-20 03:07:19 +0000 UTC View Post
Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
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2022-06-19 06:11:31 +0000 UTC View PostWe thought we had big news. That we were assessing that Russia's ability to operate offensive operations at scale beyond artillery was ending (and we'd even argue ended). Given a lot of the doom posting in the mainstream media and by some other analysts, we thought this was a contrarian view. This is why we (well mostly me) d...
2022-06-18 22:15:53 +0000 UTC View Post
Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
We love reading your comments and seeing debate. Share your thoughts on Patreon or on Discord. Our Discord is very lonely!
We strongly encourage you to...
2022-06-18 06:42:47 +0000 UTC View PostSomething is happening.
Stay tuned.
2022-06-18 02:04:17 +0000 UTC View PostBrief video statements from Alexander Drueke, 39, and Andy Huynh, 27, who went missing more than a week ago in the Kharkiv Oblast have been released. This confirms they were captured and are alive.
A nice young man is holding a large mortar shell in a picture released yesterday. Look at all of this ammunition behind me. See all of it? Piled to the ceiling! No one will ever realize that I'm standing in the Expodonbass Exhibition Center in Donetsk.
The Russian navy project 22870 rescue tugboat Vasily Bekh was hit by two Neptune or Harpoon missiles and sunk while in transit to Snake Island.
The Vasily Bekh was not your ordinary tug boat. Measuring 57 meters long and 14 meters wide, it had a top speed of 14 knots and was designed for ocean recovery and tow duties. I...
2022-06-17 16:25:29 +0000 UTC View Post
Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
We love reading your comments and seeing debate. Share your thoughts on Patreon or on Discord. Our Discord is very lonely!
Today's report is 35 pages a...
2022-06-17 03:59:40 +0000 UTC View Post
Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
We love reading your comments and seeing debate. Share your thoughts on Patreon or on Discord. Our Discord is very lonely!
The SITREP is the foundation...
2022-06-16 04:40:43 +0000 UTC View PostGerman Chancellor Olaf Scholz has been accused of promising a helping hand to Ukraine while offering a single pinkie. In our analysis, there are three underlying reasons for this.
1. The legacy of Angela Merkel and her relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Merkel, who is fluent in Russia, was said to be ab...
2022-06-15 17:38:55 +0000 UTC View Post
Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
We're back to a full SIT REP today - 40 pages of information. There is a lot happening in Kherson Oblast, with Ukrainian forces attack at five different loca...
2022-06-15 05:18:22 +0000 UTC View PostIn the city of Nova Kakhovka, 50 kilometers behind the line of conflict, Ukraine has destroyed a large ammunition depot. This is in the Kherson oblast, and on the south bank of the Dnipro River. Nova Kakhovka is a major logistics hub for all operations in the Kherson oblast. Training areas for Donetsk People's Republic (DNR) ...
2022-06-14 19:32:08 +0000 UTC View Post
Ukrainian forces liberated Prydonetske, the last settlement west of Izyum in the Russian dubbed "Sherwood Forest." Ukrainian forces are now 11 kilometers from the heart of Izyum and 8 kilometers from the city limits.
Due to Operational Security (OPSEC) there is something else we know that we will not share - but expect ...
2022-06-14 18:42:37 +0000 UTC View Post
Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
Today's SITREP is a condensed version as I'm still recovering - but there is 21 pages of updates for you.
The SITREP is the foundation of our updates o...
2022-06-14 02:29:58 +0000 UTC View Post
On Sunday, Ukrainian forces reached a culmination of the Izyum counteroffensive which has focused on SOF and artillery operations west and northwest of the city. There was a lull in operations due to a shortage of artillery ammunition and the line of conflict from Bairak to the north to Virnopillya to the south has been stati...
2022-06-13 18:01:51 +0000 UTC View Post
Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
Your patience is deeply appreciated. I am nowhere near 100% but we've got 33 pages of updates on the current situation in Ukraine. As a thank you to our "sup...
2022-06-12 04:46:16 +0000 UTC View PostYesterday, someone with Wagner Group PMC thought it was a good idea to make a TikTok video of a fresh group of mercenaries arriving in Ukraine.
Kadiivka is about 25 kilometers east of Popasna and has been...
2022-06-10 20:57:19 +0000 UTC View PostI really appreciate everyone's patience this week. This could have been a worse week to get COVID for a number of reasons.
On Monday I told my biggest client on the marketing side of the house I was dropping them. The plan was to roll out that I'm all in - we were going to start in-studio live this week again after mont...
2022-06-10 18:26:43 +0000 UTC View PostQuick update I am hopeful we are back to Situation Reports today. Videos are probably still a couple of days away.
In Severodonetsk, little has changed in the last 48 hours (I picked an excellent time to get sick). Ukraine continues to control about 30% of Severodoentsk. Russia claims to control 70%, but NASA FIRMS show...
2022-06-10 17:54:34 +0000 UTC View PostThe conflict is well into Phase 3 with the battlefront frozen across all of Ukraine.
Russia launched a massive long range artillery barrage on Kharkiv city targeting civilians.
No real changes in the Izyum front.
Ukraine and Russia continue to fight for control of Severodonetsk with no change in the situa...
I am laid out. Spent all day sleeping. The team did there part along with Rondeli but I just don't have it in the tank. I slept literally all day, seeing doctor tomorrow.
2022-06-09 04:51:46 +0000 UTC View Post
Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
The SITREP is the foundation of our updates on TikTok, and at times will contain additional information that was not shared in our videos due to time res...
