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This is Report 306 and is 46 pages.
What's the big story? President Joe Biden is in Kyiv and visited several locations with President Zelenskyy and other officials....
2023-02-20 11:35:53 +0000 UTC View Post
United States President Joe Biden has arrived in Kyiv. Moments after he was observed exiting a vehicle, a Russian Mig-31K took off from Belarus. Air raids are ongoing across all of Ukraine.
2023-02-20 09:52:40 +0000 UTC View Post
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This is Report 305 and is 46 pages.
What's the big story? It's not on the battlefield. Gloom and doom about Russia's ability to "win" in Ukraine are spreading past ...
2023-02-19 10:49:13 +0000 UTC View Post
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This is Report 304 and is 57 pages.
What's the big story? PMC Wagner captures Paraskoviivka, north of Bakhmut (mostly), while Ukrainian forces continue to push sout...
2023-02-18 12:19:28 +0000 UTC View PostRussian cruise missiles from strategic and tactical aviation and the Black Sea Fleet are incoming toward Ukraine. Vitaly Kim, Mykolaiv Oblast Administrative and Military Governor, reported.
We don't know how many launched. Russia deployed three surface frigates and a Kilo-class submarine with the potential capacity to l...
2023-02-18 07:09:28 +0000 UTC View PostWagner released a picture of four mercenaries in a tightly framed shot in the south-central part of Paraskoviivka. We have no reason not to believe this was part of a larger advance.
The map was updated.
To the south, Ukrainian forces are slowly pushing back PMC Wagner trench by trench and treeline by treeline. Uk...
2023-02-17 20:49:52 +0000 UTC View PostI'm not feeling well - at all, and I've beaten my post-COVID PEM, and I don't want to go backward. Last night's air raid had me almost to an all-nighter, and I'm leveled.
Quick summary.
Dovrichna Operational Area - Russians stepped up their attack on Hryanykivka - the situation is described a...
2023-02-17 04:51:53 +0000 UTC View Post
I'm reading that Russian troops are in Paraskoviivka!
The green marker is where they were geolocated versus our map, which moved the lines further north and east (away from the center of Paraskoviivka) yesterday.
They're right where the information, mostly from Russian sources and supported by terrain analysis, in...
2023-02-16 21:55:59 +0000 UTC View Post
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This is Report 303 and is 58 pages.
What's the big story? Another missile attack rocks Ukraine.
The second story? Russia's major offensive is approaching the ...
2023-02-16 12:39:40 +0000 UTC View PostVery short Flash Report but an important one.
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This is Report 302 and is 40 pages.
What's the big story? Ukrainian forces are pushing back southwest of Bakhmut, and PMC Wagner's Yevgeny Prigozhin validated...
2023-02-15 09:56:04 +0000 UTC View PostIf you're unfamiliar with the situation, here is a quick timeline.
On the evening of February 3, in East Palestine, Ohio, a 3,660 meter (12,000 foot) long Norfolk Southern Railroad train pulling 150 cars derailed. Fifty cars were impacted, including 20 carrying an array of hazardous chemicals, some extremely toxic and a...
2023-02-14 22:56:14 +0000 UTC View Post
If you click through, the tweet is a video clip of the PMC Wagner Group Su-24 that was hit by Ukrainian air defense that was able to Return to Base (RTB). We learned a couple of things.
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This is Report 301 and is 48 pages. Thank you for 1,000+ Patreons. Onward and upward to 2,000 and wow - we can pay the bills. That's not snark, ...
2023-02-14 10:55:09 +0000 UTC View PostPMC Wagner channels are in meltdown over the Russian Ministry of Defense Morning Report.
"In the Donetsk direction, the volunteers of the assault detachments, with fire support from the rocket troops and artillery of the "Southern" group of troops, liberated the settlement of Krasn...
2023-02-13 23:31:44 +0000 UTC View Post
This satellite image is also from DeepState and is from February 11. Russian forces of the 1st Army Corps have been fighting for Krasnohorivka for nine years. This is a critical location; this image with the snow shows why it is so important and why it is an impossible task for the 1st Army Corps to capture with the resources...
2023-02-13 21:23:28 +0000 UTC View Post
Yesterday we adjusted our war map based on a video from the Terra Unit and pulled the Russian advance toward Ivanivske back between 500 to 1,500 meters. DeepState shared a satellite image from February 13 that shows clearly where Russian and Ukrainian artillery strikes are landing on each other's positions and where each comb...
2023-02-13 19:29:11 +0000 UTC View PostAC/DC sang it's a long way to the top if you want to rock and roll. It sure is the same thing if you want to create a brand, be an independent journalist, and not grow by basing your whole personality on rage farming and shock.
Today we hit 1,000 subscribers, and Alan - you're number 1,000.
Thank you!
2023-02-13 18:38:14 +0000 UTC View Post
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This is Report 300 and is 53 pages.
What's the big story? Intense fighting continues around Bakhmut, with Ukraine holding most defensive lines, but the situation re...
2023-02-13 11:19:49 +0000 UTC View PostThe General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine announced that Bakhmut would be closed to the press and civilian aid groups starting on February 13, 2023, for their safety.
There is rampant speculation that this indicates an imminent withdrawal, but there are no signs of a pullback. Russian forces control 25% to 30% of...
2023-02-13 02:06:26 +0000 UTC View PostIn the last four days, three Russian battalions have rioted and refused to follow orders. The first one we learned about through Russian sources is from Tuva. The second is from the Republic of Tatarstan, and the third is from Kaliningrad.
The units from Tatarstan and Kaliningrad have released public statements that tel...
2023-02-13 01:47:05 +0000 UTC View PostThere is a 20-minute-long video released by the Terra Unit. The bad news is that most clips are more than 10 days old. The good news is the video does provide the first visual information that can be geolocated in this area in weeks. We know that PMC Wagner supported by Russian troops broke through the Ukrainian defenses west...
2023-02-13 01:22:50 +0000 UTC View PostIs it captured or not? Do Russian forces control half of it? What about "lower Bilohorivka?"
There is a video released by the Luhansk People's Republic and it's been geolocated. It is a composite video showing some half-truths. The tanks providing direct fire are in several centimeters of snow while several of the "see...
Linnea was sick today, and things have been intense the last week for the team. Everyone needs a good night's sleep, so...
2023-02-12 06:52:59 +0000 UTC View PostOvernight we learned some things.
First, reports that the T-504 Highway Ground Line of Communication (GLOC - supply line) was not under Russian fire control. Russia hasn't been able to advance on the highway in the last week or seriously blunt the flow of traffic. It isn't a fun road to drive, but reports of it looking ...
2023-02-11 22:00:31 +0000 UTC View Post
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This is Report 298 and is 52 pages.
What's the big story? Ukraine held all defensive lines in the Soledar and Bakhmut Operational Areas and pushed Russian forces ba...
2023-02-11 12:03:11 +0000 UTC View PostRussia has launched at least 17 Iranian-sourced Shahed-136 kamikaze drones across Ukraine.
Air defense are active in Kyiv and there have been three strikes - two in Kryvyi Rih and one in Nikopol.
We know at the moment air defenses are at 11 out of 14, don't know the status on the remaining three. The chance of ano...
2023-02-11 06:59:55 +0000 UTC View PostLuhansk: The situation is stable in the Svatove and Kreminna Operational Areas. There are indications that Ukrainian forces took some ground back southwest of Dibrova, but we wouldn't get too excited. Fighting in the Serebryanskyy Woods is similar to the fighting in "Sherwood Forest" southwest of Izyum, only at a larger scale...
2023-02-11 01:40:47 +0000 UTC View Post
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Updated from e-mail - this is Report 296 and is 54 pages.
What's the big story? Fighting expanded along the entire line of conflict, with Ukrainian forces having a ...
2023-02-10 12:35:57 +0000 UTC View PostWe're doing a lot of geolocation right now with a flood of videos and pictures that have been released on what we can confidently say is the end of day one of the wide-scale Russian offensive. Consider this a hot take versus definitive.
Luhansk: The situation is stable in the Svatove Operational Area. In the Kreminna Op...
2023-02-09 23:26:21 +0000 UTC View Post
